Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.004123 0.004625 0.005190 0.005878 0.006702 0.007666 0.008893
2026-01-11 0.003394 0.004026 0.004796 0.005825 0.007192 0.008992 0.011623
2026-01-18 0.002989 0.003679 0.004569 0.005836 0.007657 0.010289 0.014616
2026-01-25 0.002658 0.003359 0.004300 0.005706 0.007853 0.011200 0.017288
2026-02-01 0.002372 0.003057 0.004004 0.005472 0.007824 0.011724 0.019459
2026-02-08 0.002141 0.002803 0.003741 0.005240 0.007740 0.012114 0.021499
2026-02-15 0.002027 0.002700 0.003681 0.005305 0.008143 0.013445 0.026019
2026-02-22 0.001889 0.002550 0.003533 0.005205 0.008238 0.014209 0.029622
2026-03-01 0.001760 0.002402 0.003373 0.005061 0.008223 0.014740 0.032920
2026-03-08 0.001655 0.002281 0.003243 0.004953 0.008255 0.015379 0.036904
2026-03-15 0.001609 0.002248 0.003250 0.005085 0.008779 0.017281 0.046215
2026-03-22 0.001574 0.002228 0.003277 0.005253 0.009408 0.019654 0.059598
2026-03-29 0.001511 0.002165 0.003234 0.005303 0.009838 0.021803 0.075648
2026-04-05 0.001438 0.002080 0.003148 0.005262 0.010062 0.023510 0.092896
2026-04-12 0.001379 0.002016 0.003091 0.005271 0.010411 0.025782 0.118929
2026-04-19 0.001309 0.001926 0.002982 0.005159 0.010432 0.027001 0.141406
2026-04-26 0.001231 0.001821 0.002837 0.004956 0.010184 0.027178 0.156278
2026-05-03 0.001160 0.001723 0.002698 0.004753 0.009906 0.027162 0.170333
2026-05-10 0.001129 0.001691 0.002680 0.004809 0.010342 0.030192 0.235211
2026-05-17 0.001082 0.001630 0.002602 0.004723 0.010362 0.031523 0.287448
2026-05-24 0.001034 0.001563 0.002510 0.004597 0.010246 0.032223 0.336702
2026-05-31 0.000992 0.001507 0.002435 0.004503 0.010209 0.033312 0.409645
2026-06-07 0.000977 0.001498 0.002449 0.004618 0.010842 0.038221 0.694951